Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008501 0.009582 0.010766 0.012165 0.013774 0.015573 0.017743
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006860 0.008336 0.010100 0.012376 0.015256 0.018806 0.023556
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005876 0.007497 0.009546 0.012351 0.016137 0.021131 0.028319
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005000 0.006621 0.008759 0.011828 0.016185 0.022253 0.031525
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004483 0.006132 0.008392 0.011770 0.016790 0.024134 0.035989
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004254 0.006000 0.008478 0.012332 0.018317 0.027502 0.043159
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003794 0.005481 0.007945 0.011899 0.018260 0.028412 0.046511
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003436 0.005075 0.007531 0.011587 0.018333 0.029503 0.050283
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003203 0.004833 0.007338 0.011595 0.018911 0.031476 0.055880
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003108 0.004794 0.007454 0.012112 0.020395 0.035188 0.065275
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002903 0.004559 0.007231 0.012025 0.020801 0.037001 0.071276
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002756 0.004407 0.007129 0.012134 0.021566 0.039564 0.079208
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002551 0.004148 0.006833 0.011890 0.021682 0.040974 0.085151
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002438 0.004038 0.006789 0.012104 0.022718 0.044392 0.096267
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002299 0.003871 0.006628 0.012079 0.023269 0.046874 0.105709
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002106 0.003591 0.006238 0.011569 0.022759 0.046997 0.109444
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001992 0.003447 0.006086 0.011513 0.023195 0.049273 0.119080
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001965 0.003459 0.006226 0.012061 0.025006 0.054975 0.139027
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001822 0.003244 0.005914 0.011638 0.024597 0.055345 0.144357
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001705 0.003070 0.005670 0.011334 0.024426 0.056271 0.151506
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001631 0.002975 0.005573 0.011342 0.024985 0.059122 0.165067
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001614 0.002989 0.005697 0.011846 0.026799 0.065526 0.191350
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001540 0.002883 0.005566 0.011761 0.027149 0.068062 0.205741